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The Italian banking risk: the strategic moves of Caltagirone and Unicredit

The current context of the Italian banking sector

The Italian banking sector is experiencing a period of intense activity, characterized by mergers, acquisitions and investment strategies that are redefining the financial landscape. In this context, the figure of Francesco Caltagirone emerges as a key player, with strategic moves that could significantly influence the market. Recently, Caltagirone increased its shareholding in Anima, bringing it to 5.292%, a step that not only strengthens its position, but also complicates the acquisition dynamics for anyone who wishes to enter the capital of
the asset management company.

Caltagirone’s maneuvers and his participations

Francesco Caltagirone, a well-known Roman real estate developer, has demonstrated a growing interest in the banking sector, as evidenced by his recent increase in participation in Anima. This transaction, announced by CONSOB, saw Caltagirone rise from 3.36% to 5.292% of the capital, through various subsidiaries. This rounding of the shareholding is significant, since it implies that anyone who wants to acquire Anima will now have to negotiate with a group of controlling shareholders, including Banco BPM and Poste Italiane, who together hold almost
50% of the capital.

Unicredit and its acquisition strategies

In parallel, Unicredit is preparing a strategic move to acquire Banco BPM, an operation that has attracted the attention of analysts and investors. The recent acquisition by Crédit Agricole, which increased its shareholding from 9.9% to 15.1%, has further complicated the picture. The French bank has stated that it does not want to exercise control over Banco BPM, but its intention to increase participation could influence market dynamics and Unicredit’s decisions. Analysts observe with interest how these maneuvers can influence the price of the exchange offer launched by Unicredit, considered not generous by
many experts in the sector.

Future prospects for the banking market

As the publication of the 2024 financial statements approaches and the Unicredit shareholders’ meeting scheduled for April, the market is eagerly awaiting the next moves. The strategies of Caltagirone and Unicredit could not only redefine alliances in the banking sector, but also influence the future of mergers and acquisitions in Italy. Investors and analysts will continue to closely monitor these dynamics, as each move could have significant repercussions on the market and on the stability of
the Italian banking system.

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