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Rising inflation in the euro area: analysis and prospects

The current inflation environment in the euro area

In
November 2023, annual inflation in the euro area showed a significant increase, reaching 2.2%, as reported by Eurostat. This represents an increase from 2.0% in October and a decrease from 2.4% in the same month of the previous year. In the European Union, the annual inflation rate reached 2.5%, up from 2.3% in October, compared to 3.1% a year ago.

The differences between the various member states

Analyzing inflation rates, significant differences can be seen between the various member states. The lowest rates were recorded in Ireland at 0.5%, followed by Lithuania and Luxembourg, both at 1.1%. In contrast, the highest rates are found in Romania at 5.4%, Belgium at 4.8% and Croatia at 4.0%. These data highlight how inflation can vary considerably even within the same economic area
.

Driving sectors and contributions to inflation

In November, the biggest contribution to inflation in the euro area was provided by services, which registered an increase of 1.74%. Food, alcohol and tobacco products follow with an increase of 0.53%, and non-energy industrial goods with an increase of 0.17%. However, the energy sector had a negative impact, contributing -0.19%
.

The reactions of the financial markets

Asian stock exchanges closed positively, driven by the automotive and technology sectors, while investors are waiting with interest for the Federal Reserve’s rate decision. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index registered an increase of 0.83%, with companies such as Li Auto and Geely Automobile among the biggest earners. The Shanghai and Shenzhen indices also showed signs of growth.

Future Perspectives and Final Thoughts

With inflation rising and stock markets reacting positively, it’s crucial to monitor upcoming Federal Reserve decisions and global economic dynamics. The current situation requires attention, as monetary policies and business choices could significantly influence economic performance in the coming months. In this context, the agreement between IVECO BUS and BusGruppe for the supply of 580 buses, including 250 electric buses, represents an important step towards sustainability and innovation in the
transport sector.

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