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Performance of SMEs in Japan: a two-speed framework

Introduction to Japanese SMEs

Japan, one of the world’s leading economies, is experiencing a moment of transition in its economic sectors. Preliminary data for November 2024 show a two-speed trend in the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), with the manufacturing sector contracting and the service sector showing signs of growth. This situation raises questions about the country’s economic prospects and the measures that could be taken to stimulate growth
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Details on manufacturing PMI data

The Japanese manufacturing PMI fell to 49 in November, compared to the value of 49.2 recorded in the previous month. This decline indicates a contraction in activity in the sector, as a value below 50 signals a contraction. The causes of this slowdown can be attributed to several factors, including the decrease in global demand and difficulties in the supply chain, which continue to negatively affect manufacturing companies
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The growing service sector

Contrary to the manufacturing sector, the services PMI showed an improvement, reaching 50.2, an increase compared to the previous 49.7. This suggests a recovery in service activity, which could be fueled by higher consumer spending and increased confidence in the market. Growth in the service sector is crucial for the Japanese economy, as it represents a significant part of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP)
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Implications for the Japanese economy

These mixed results in SMEs raise questions about Japan’s future economic policies. With inflation showing signs of a slight upturn, it is essential that the government and the Bank of Japan carefully consider the measures to be taken to support economic growth. The current situation requires a balance between stimulus and inflation control, to ensure a sustainable recovery in the long term
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Conclusions and future prospects

In summary, the data for November 2024 highlight a complex economic picture for Japan, with a struggling manufacturing sector and an expanding service sector. The Japanese authorities will need to closely monitor these dynamics and adopt appropriate policies to address current challenges and promote balanced growth. The road to a solid economic recovery will require constant commitment and targeted strategies to stimulate both sectors
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