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Investing in government bonds: opportunities and returns in 2023

The charm of Italian government bonds

Government bonds, in particular Multiyear Treasury Bonds (BTPs), continue to represent an attractive choice for Italian savers. Recent auctions have shown strong interest on the part of investors, with the Department of the Treasury placing 8.5 billion euros in different deadlines. This fact highlights how BTPs, with their fixed coupons and perceived security, are increasingly sought after
in an uncertain economic environment.

Details of the latest BTP auctions

During the last auction, the Treasury offered 3, 7, 10 and 15-year BTPs, with variable coupons that attract different investor profiles. For example, the 10-year BTP saw a demand of 2.9 billion euros, with a gross yield down to 3.37%. In contrast, the 3-year BTP registered an increase in yield to 2.73%, a sign of growing interest in short-term securities. This data shows how savers are diversifying their choices, looking for opportunities that meet their performance and security needs
.

The yield of BTPs and the factors that influence it

The yield of a BTP is mainly determined by two factors: the biannual payment of the coupons and the difference between the purchase price and the nominal value reimbursed at maturity. In 2023, the average annual cost of issuance increased to 3.76%, compared to 1.71% in 2022, suggesting that investors are willing to accept higher returns in exchange for the security offered by government bonds. This trend is particularly evident in the current context, where economic uncertainty pushes many to seek safe havens for their savings
.

Future prospects for government bonds

Looking to the future, the outlook for Italian government bonds remains positive. With the issuance of almost 516 billion euros in securities in 2023, of which 360 billion euros in the medium-long term, the BTP market continues to be a fundamental pillar for the financing of public debt. In addition, the influence of European funding such as SURE and NGEU helps to stabilize the average life of securities, which is around 7.25 years. This scenario offers attractive opportunities for investors, who can benefit from competitive returns in an environment of
increasing volatility.

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