The current forecasts for Donald Trump
According to the latest analysis in the New York Times, Donald Trump has an impressive 90% chance of winning the next American presidential election. Current projections indicate a final result of 301 great voters for Trump, compared to 237 for Kamala Harris. This scenario highlights a clear advantage for the Republican candidate, who is in a favorable position to reconquer
the White House.
Pennsylvania’s crucial role
A key element in this election race is represented by Pennsylvania, where Trump is expected to win with his 19 electoral votes. The victory in this state is crucial, since Trump currently has 267 votes and needs 270 to obtain the presidency. Pennsylvania, historically considered a state in the balance, could prove decisive for the political future of the United States
.
Voters’ economic discontent
A determining factor in these elections is the growing discontent with the economy. According to an exit poll conducted by ABC News, 45% of Americans expressed significant concerns about their economic situation, stating that it has worsened under the current democratic administration. This figure represents one of the highest rates of economic dissatisfaction ever recorded, exceeding 42% in 2008, during the global
economic crisis.
The perception of democracy in danger
In addition, 72% of voters said they are not satisfied with the direction the country is going in, with a significant part of them even feeling angry. Only 26% said they were satisfied or excited. In addition, 73% of respondents believe that American democracy is currently under threat, a sentiment that could influence electoral choices and voter behavior in the coming
weeks.