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Chinese economic performance: mixed data for October 2024

Industrial production: a sign of a slowdown

In October 2024, industrial production in China registered an annual growth of 5.3%, down from 5.4% in the previous month. This figure disappointed analysts’ expectations, who expected a more robust increase of 5.6%. The decline in industrial growth could indicate a slowdown in economic activity, raising questions about the sustainability of the post-pandemic recovery. Experts warn that the situation could be influenced by internal and external factors, including trade tensions and economic policies adopted by
the Chinese government.

Retail sales: a positive sign

Contrary to production data, retail sales showed a surprising increase of 4.8% compared to 3.2% in the previous reading. This result exceeds Bloomberg’s consensus forecasts, which stood for an increase of 3.8%. The increase in retail sales suggests a recovery in consumer confidence and could be a positive sign for the Chinese economy. Analysts believe that this trend can be supported by stimulus policies and an increase in household spending, which is helping to support economic
growth.

Future Prospects and Global Impacts

The economic situation in China is of particular interest not only to the country itself, but also to the global economy. Fluctuations in Chinese economic data may have significant repercussions on international markets. With today’s macroeconomic agenda that includes industrial production in the United States and economic estimates from the European Commission, investors and analysts are closely monitoring developments. The combination of conflicting data from China could influence monetary policy decisions and investment strategies globally
.

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