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6 November 2026

Apple posts strong Q4 numbers while investors worry about margin squeeze

Apple posted a revenue surge and a beat on earnings, but rising memory prices and a one‑off tariff refund left investors cautious about the stock’s valuation.

Apple posts strong Q4 numbers while investors worry about margin squeeze

Apple released its fiscal fourth-quarter results on November 2, showing a 12% increase in revenue to $114.48 billion and an earnings-per-share (EPS) of $2.10. The numbers topped Wall Street’s consensus of $113.46 billion in sales and $2.00 in EPS, largely driven by a robust iPhone performance. However, the share price slipped in pre-market trading, reflecting concerns that the headline profit contains a temporary boost from tariff refunds and that future margins may be squeezed.

Quarterly revenue and profit highlights

The iPhone segment generated $57.58 billion, surpassing the $56.48 billion forecast and marking a 17% year-over-year jump. Mac sales rose 24% to $10.79 billion, beating the $9.61 billion estimate, while services revenue reached $31.57 billion, just a hair shy of expectations. Wearables and iPad revenues fell 8% and 10% respectively, reflecting a mixed product mix. Overall, diluted EPS climbed 14% from $1.85 a year earlier, though a $0.05 tariff rebate inflated the figure.

Margin composition and tariff refund impact

The company reported a gross margin of 47.9%, slightly above the 47.5% analyst target. Gross margin measures the portion of revenue left after covering the cost of goods sold. Apple disclosed that tariff refunds added roughly one percentage point to the margin and contributed five cents to EPS. Stripping out that one-off benefit yields an adjusted EPS of $2.05, a more realistic view of sustainable profitability.

AI-driven memory costs and supply constraints

Apple’s new CEO, John Ternus, highlighted that the rollout of on-device AI agents is driving “unprecedented” memory pricing. The company’s memory costs rose sharply in the September quarter and are expected to stay high into the December quarter, despite carry-in inventory cushioning the impact. supply constraints also affected the iPhone Duo, Mac, and iPad lines, as advanced processing nodes and DRAM shortages limited production capacity.

Future guidance and valuation considerations

For the next fiscal quarter, Apple foresees revenue growth of 7%-10% year-over-year, with services expected to grow 8%-9% despite licensing and foreign-exchange headwinds. Gross margin is projected between 45% and 46%, reflecting continued memory-price pressure. The stock now trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of roughly 35, well above the historical average, indicating that investors are paying a premium for future growth that may be challenged by cost inflation and slowing services momentum.

Apple’s earnings beat masks underlying pressures from elevated component costs and a one-off tariff refund. While iPhone demand remains strong, the company’s ability to sustain margin expansion and accelerate services growth will be the key determinants of its long-term valuation.

Author

Edward Sterling

Edward Sterling, a finance and markets journalist, covers investing, stock markets, banking and personal finance, translating complex economic trends into clear, actionable insight for readers.