Global GDP growth projections
According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the global GDP is projected to grow by 3.1% in 2025, reflecting a slight decrease from 3.3% in 2024. This slowdown is largely due to tightening monetary policies and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Inflation rates across major economies
Inflation continues to be a significant concern, with expected rates of 4.2% in the United States and 3.5% in the Eurozone. These figures highlight the effects of persistent supply chain issues and volatile energy prices.
Unemployment rates and labor market dynamics
The global unemployment rate is anticipated to stabilize around 5.5% in 2025, with regional variations. In the U.S., the unemployment rate is projected to be 4.0%, while in the Eurozone, it is expected to be around 7.1%. These statistics underscore the ongoing challenges in labor market recovery following the pandemic.
Commodity price trends
Commodity prices are forecasted to fluctuate, with oil prices expected to average $75 per barrel in 2025. This projection reflects the influence of geopolitical factors, OPEC+ production decisions, and changing demand patterns as economies readjust post-pandemic.
Impact of monetary policy on financial markets
The Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank are likely to maintain cautious monetary policies, with interest rates projected to remain stable at 5.0% and 3.5%, respectively. These policies will continue to shape capital flows and investment decisions across global markets.